Primary Candidate Tracking Report (2/14/2012)

There are currently 176 candidates for Congress and 299 candidates for the State Legislature in the 2012 Primary Election who are currently being tracked in preparation for updating the JoinCalifornia database.

Congress (53 Seats; 176 Candidates)
89 Democrats
79 Republicans
3 Libertarians
2 Greens
3 Independents/No Party Preference

State Senate (20 Seats; 47 Candidates)
30 Democrats
14 Republicans
1 Libertarians
2 Independents/No Party Preference

State Assembly (80 Seats; 252 Candidates)
150 Democrats
82 Republicans
1 Green
1 Peace and Freedom
17 Independents/No Party Preference

Of the 299 state legislative candidates, 115 have appeared previously on General Election ballots, 75 are current legislators, and 13 are former legislators.

Election Tracking

What to expect on the General Election ballot? Well, although we are still early in the candidate nomination period, we still have some idea of what to expect.

With the “Top Two Primary” going into effect this year, the number of candidates on the General Election ballot will be capped at 315 this year, although we’re likely to see a few less than that. In recent years, we have seen around ten races each year that have only one candidate, so expecting about 305-310 candidates is probably reasonable. The candidate numbers break down;

7 candidates for U.S. President
2 candidates for U.S. Senator
106 candidates for U.S. Representative (2 per district for 53 districts)
40 candidates for (2 per district for 20 districts)
160 candidates for State Assembly (2 per district for 80 districts)

We should find out who the candidates are (with the exception of the Presidential nominees) in two waves;

  • In races with only one or two candidates, we should know who will be appearing on the November ballot shortly after the end of the filing period (on or before March 24th).
  • In races with three or more candidates, we will have to wait until after the Primary Election (June 5th) to see which two candidates received the most votes and will continue to the General Election.

If not before, Presidential nominees should become apparent after each of the party conventions;

  • American Independent nominee to be selected at convention by April 21.
  • Libertarian nominee to be selected at convention by May 6.
  • Americans Elect nominee to be selected online by July 1.
  • Green nominee to be selected at convention by July 15.
  • Peace & Freedom nominee to be selected at convention by August 5.
  • Republican nominee to be selected at convention by August 30.
  • Democratic nominee to be selected at convention by September 6.

Merv Evans for…

Merv Evans with Jerry Brown

Friday marks the 59th birthday for Mervin Evans, one of California’s prolific candidates for public office.

In the two decades since he began running, Evans has sought election to statewide office (4 times), the State Assembly (5 times), State Senate (just once), Congress (8 times), and U.S. Senate (three times in two states), while running for local office in Los Angeles six times as well.

Running for so many offices can be confusing; the title bar on his website [http://mervpac.net/] currently reads “Mervin Evans for State Assembly” while the banner at the top of the page clearly indicates that Evans is running for Congress in District 37.

Evans runs similar campaigns in each election, focusing on the core issues of stopping child molesters and bear poachers while protecting the Second Amendment and expanding services for military veterans. Evans faces another tough race this year, running against Congresswoman (and former Assembly Speaker) Karen Bass for the seat she first won in 2010.

Current Voter Registration Numbers

Apologies for not posting this earlier. The latest voter registration numbers for California’s political parties are (as of January 3, 2012);

Bold indicates a Qualified Political Party
Italic indicates a Political Party Seeking to Qualify

Democratic – 7,429,684
Republican – 5,170,592
No Party Preference – 3,617,466 (Voters registered with no political party)
American Independent – 428,560
Green – 111,319
Libertarian – 93,300
Peace & Freedom – 59,012
Reform – 20,722 (Disqualified December 31, 2002)
Americans Elect – 3,165
Conservative Party – 494
La Raza Unida – 461
We Like Women – 382
Justice – 183
Whig – 167
Constitution – 121
Christian – 117


Note: Parties with fewer than 100 registered voters are not included on this listing.

Presidential Candidates List Released

The Secretary of State released the list of Presidential candidates who will appear on the June 5th Primary ballot in California.

The candidate list at ElectionVolunteer.com has been updated to include the names of the these candidates and is now available.

Primary Candidate Tracking Report (2/1/2012)

There are currently 177 candidates for Congress and 324 candidates for the State Legislature in the 2012 Primary Election who are currently being tracked in preparation for updating the JoinCalifornia database.

Congress (53 Seats; 177 Candidates)
88 Democrats
79 Republicans
3 Libertarians
3 Greens
3 Independents/No Party Preference

State Senate (20 Seats; 58 Candidates)
34 Democrats
21 Republicans
2 Libertarians
1 Independents/No Party Preference

State Assembly (80 Seats; 264 Candidates)
156 Democrats
88 Republicans
1 Green
1 Peace and Freedom
21 Independents/No Party Preference

Of the 298 state legislative candidates, 130 have appeared previously on General Election ballots, 85 are current state legislators, and 17 are former legislators.

Primary Candidate Tracking Report (1/19/2012)

There are currently 166 candidates for Congress and 320 candidates for the State Legislature in the 2012 Primary Election who are currently being tracked in preparation for updating the JoinCalifornia database.

Congress (53 Seats; 166 Candidates)
85 Democrats
73 Republicans
3 Libertarians
2 Greens
2 Independents/No Party Preference

State Senate (20 Seats; 52 Candidates)
30 Democrats
20 Republicans
1 Libertarians
1 Independents/No Party Preference

State Assembly (80 Seats; 246 Candidates)
143 Democrats
85 Republicans
1 Green
1 Peace and Freedom
16 Independents/No Party Preference

Of the 298 state legislative candidates, 120 have appeared previously on General Election ballots, 87 are current legislators, and 18 are former legislators.

Kevin Mullin for AD-22

Kevin Mullin, son of former Assemblyman Gene Mullin, has filed to run in the 2012 Primary for AD-22. After serving on the South San Francisco City Council (1995-2002) Gene Mullin served three terms in the Assembly (2003-2008).

Following in his father’s footsteps, currently a member of the South San Francisco City Council (2007-Present), Kevin Mullin also has experience as a legislative staffer, serving as District Director for State Senator Jackie Speier (1998-2001).

By our count, Mullin is the only candidate in the AD-22 race so far.

Hertzberg running for State Senate?

Speaker Hertzberg

The Los Angeles Daily News had an article on the potential campaign by former Assembly Speaker Bob Hertzberg for the newly drawn State Senate District 27.

If Hertzberg does decide to run, he will be breaking the mold. Although it wasn’t uncommon for Assembly Speakers to be elected to the Senate in the early years of the state (in fact, two individuals served as both Assembly Speaker and Senate pro Tem), it has been 84 years since the last Speaker moved to the upper house.

Governor Merriam

 The last Assembly Speaker to become a State Senator was Frank F. Merriam (Speaker in 1923-1926), who was elected to the State Senate in 1928 and went on to be Governor in 1934. Since Merriam, at least four other Speakers have run for (and lost) races for the State Senate;

A decade after Merriam was elected to the Senate, Speaker Edgar C. Levey lost a General Election campaign for SD-14 in 1938. In the 1950s, Sam L. Collins lost a Primary Election bid for SD-35 in 1952 and James W. Silliman lost in a Special Election for a SD-25 in 1955. Finally, Doris Allen ran in the SD-35 Special Election of 1995 (losing the primary to Ross Johnson).

With incumbent State Senators Fran Pavley and Tony Strickland already in the race, Hertzberg has some major challenges to overcome. But if Stickland withdraws to run for Congress, Hertzberg’s positive relationship with legislative Republicans might be a major advantage in the new Top Two Primary structure.

2012 Elections Begin

Tomorrow marks the official start of the 2012 election season. Although candidates have been announcing their campaigns for months, California law designates December 30th as the first day on which candidate may begin collecting and filing signatures in lieu of filing fees. The key dates for the June Primary are:

December 30 – February 23: Signatures in Lieu of Filing Fees

February 13 – March 9: Regular Nomination Period

March 10 – 14, 2012: Extended Nomination Period (if an eligible incumbent does not file for office)

April 9 – May 22: Write-In Candidate Filing Period

June 5: Presidential Primary Election

Source: Candidate Filing Information from the California Secretary of State

 

We should have a complete idea of what the June ballot will look like by March 15th. With the exception of a very close race or two, the candidate line-up for the November election should be known by the end of June 6th.